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    While Melbourne's property market continues to lose momentum, one suburb on the city's north-west fringe is quietly bucking the trend.

    RET Editorial
    5 min readNetwork NewsReal Estate Today Australia

    While Melbourne's property market continues to lose momentum, one suburb on the city's north-west fringe is quietly bucking the trend. 

    Cotality Home Value Index data for July 2026 shows Melbourne dwelling values have fallen 2.8 per cent over the past 12 months, yet Sunbury has recorded annual growth of 4.3 per cent, making it the strongest-performing SA3 market in Greater Melbourne. 

    With a median dwelling value of $729,763, the suburb has emerged as one of the city's standout performers despite broader market weakness. 

    For lifelong Sunbury and Macedon Ranges resident and Woodards Sunbury & Macedon Ranges director Matthew Makin, the reasons extend well beyond the statistics. 

    He said buyers were increasingly leaving Melbourne's inner suburbs in search of better value, larger homes and a stronger sense of community. 

    "There's a lot of movement for people, probably more in metropolitan regions, moving out to Sunbury for better value," Mr Makin said. 

    "Instead of buying an apartment, they're coming out the 30 minutes and then buying a four-bedroom home with a backyard. 

    “There's a lot of drive for that." 

    Mr Makin said demand was strongest in the $600,000 to $850,000 price bracket, where young families and upsizers were driving higher turnover. 

    Improved infrastructure had also transformed the suburb's appeal. 

    "The accessibility, the train line, and the car park have all been upgraded, so Sunbury seems to be well sought after, and you're still getting that bang for buck as opposed to other locations," he said. 

    As buyers upgrade within the suburb, that demand is also flowing into larger family homes. 

    "That's why Sunbury's trending up, is everyone's getting a little bit more money and they're being able to do what they wanna do." 

    Beyond affordability, Mr Makin believes Sunbury offers something many metropolitan suburbs cannot. "It still definitely has a strong community feel," he said. 

    "There’s a real village atmosphere and you really feel a part of it. You also have the ability to connect to the local clubs and people within them, as opposed to being just another person in a sea of change in a more metropolitan suburb closer to Melbourne."

    Combined with the surrounding Macedon Ranges, Mr Makin said residents enjoyed "fresh air, the undulating land and hills and views", while remaining within easy reach of Melbourne. 

    The suburb's growing list of amenities has also broadened its appeal. 

    "There are many good schools, shops and public transport is solid,” Mr Makin said. “You’ve just got a bit more room and space to breathe.” 

    Mr Makin said homes in Sunbury's $600,000 to $850,000 price bracket continued to attract strong buyer demand and solid price growth, while values at the top end of the market had eased, creating an opportunity for homeowners looking to upgrade. 

    "If you're selling in that sort of market and you're going to upsize and make the change, the top-end market has still fallen quite substantially in the last two years," he said. 

    "You are able to upgrade your home for a lot less than what you would have had to, say, four years ago. 

    "The gap's never been as close. Yes, it's more money, but if you're chasing lifestyle or location, it is a great time to do it." 

    Rather than simply celebrating strong market results, Mr Makin said positive local data gave agents a valuable opportunity to have more meaningful conversations with homeowners who may not realise how their suburb was performing. 

    "It's about educating people on what's actually happening in their own backyard," he said. 

    "A lot of homeowners don't realise their area is outperforming the broader Melbourne market, so those conversations can help them make better decisions, whether they're thinking about selling now or somewhere down the track." 

    He said sharing relevant market insights with past clients, prospective vendors and local residents was less about generating an immediate listing and more about becoming a trusted source of advice. 

    "If you're consistently keeping people informed with what's happening in their local market, you're building relationships long before they need an agent," he said. 

    “But when they do, you’re going to be the first name on their lips.”


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