June 2026: RBA Cash rate decision

The Reserve Bank's decision to leave the cash rate on hold at 4.35 per cent should provide some welcome certainty for households, buyers and sellers who have spent much of the past year navigating economic uncertainty. 

From my perspective, this is a positive outcome. 

While Melbourne dwelling values have softened in recent months, the market is proving more resilient than many people give it credit for. According to Cotality’s latest figures, values remain 0.5 per cent higher than they were a year ago, and we're starting to see buyers return as confidence gradually improves. 

What we're seeing on the ground is that buyers haven't disappeared. They simply paused while they assessed the impact of interest rates, global events and government policy changes. As those concerns settle, activity is picking up again. 

A great example is Sunbury, which has emerged as Melbourne's strongest-performing major housing market. Dwelling values there have risen 6.7 per cent over the past year. More importantly, Sunbury has consistently featured among Melbourne's strongest growth markets throughout 2026, showing there is still genuine demand for well-priced family homes in the right locations. 

Melbourne also remains one of Australia's most affordable major capitals, with a median dwelling value of $812,621, well below Sydney, Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide. That affordability continues to attract buyers looking for value. 

The auction market is telling a similar story. Melbourne finished May hosting more auctions than any other capital city, with clearance rates sitting just above 50 per cent. Admittedly that's not a booming market, but it is a functioning market with active buyers competing for quality homes. 

Another factor worth considering is that the family home is becoming an increasingly attractive long-term asset. With proposed federal tax changes reducing some of the benefits traditionally available to investors, the principal place of residence remains one of the few areas where Australians can still build wealth without paying capital gains tax, making upgrading or upsizing a more compelling option for many families. 

A rate hold won't solve every challenge overnight, but it does provide stability. For buyers and sellers alike, that's an important step towards rebuilding confidence.